About Stratonomics
Stratonomics is an independent intelligence brief focused on the intersection of geopolitics, markets, and the real economy.
Stratonomics started as a private memo habit: one page, sent to a few friends, every time the headlines didn’t match the price action.
It exists for a simple reason: business and investment decisions are increasingly shaped by political power, state strategy, and historical constraints — yet most information is still produced as headlines, opinions, or isolated facts rather than structured judgment.
Stratonomics is designed to fill that gap.
The project aims to apply an investment-banking and buyside lens to global affairs, ideally analysing how political decisions translate into capital allocation, market structure, and sectoral outcomes. The focus is not on what is loud, dramatic, or trending — but on what actually changes incentives, constraints, and risks for decision-makers.
This is not a newspaper.
It is a working brief.
What Stratonomics Covers
Stratonomics approaches geopolitics as a system, not a spectacle. Core areas of focus include:
Geopolitics and state power
Global markets and capital flows
Energy, transportation, and industrial systems
Commodities and resource security
Economic history as a guide to present constraints
Energy, transport, and commodities recur frequently — not because they are fashionable, but because they are where geopolitics becomes measurable.
How the Analysis Works
Stratonomics is written in the style of an internal strategy or investment memo.
Each piece follows the same discipline:
a concise explanation of what has changed,
an assessment of what it reveals structurally, and
an outline of how it could plausibly affect markets, sectors, or capital allocation.
The aim is context over fragments. Over time, patterns become easier to recognise and surprises less frequent.
I won’t be first to the news. The point is to be early on the implications. When I’m wrong, it’s usually because I underestimated politics’ ability to override economics
Many readers find that a short Stratonomics brief replaces extensive headline scanning while leaving them better oriented.
Who Writes Stratonomics
Stratonomics is written by a former investment banker and buyside investor, with professional experience evaluating risk, allocating capital, and advising on complex transactions across cycles.
Background does matter. I’ve spent most of my career around energy, infrastructure and industrial supply chains. I’ve sat on both sides of the table: selling assets, buying them, and financing them. I’m European; I think in Europe’s constraints
The analysis is informed by how markets price risk, how institutions behave under constraint, and how political decisions propagate through balance sheets, supply chains, and asset values. It is also shaped by long-standing interests in economic history, energy systems, and transportation networks — domains where structural forces matter more than narratives.
What Makes Stratonomics Different
Most commentary today optimises for speed, novelty, or opinion. Events are treated as stand-alone stories, context is lost, and consequences are rarely examined systematically.
Stratonomics applies a different discipline:
selective rather than exhaustive
analytical rather than descriptive
focused on consequences rather than commentary
The objective is not to tell readers everything that happened, but to identify what matters most — and explain why.
Who It’s For
Stratonomics is written for people whose decisions are affected by geopolitics, even if geopolitics is not their job:
investors and capital allocators
strategy and corporate development professionals
risk, legal, and government-relations teams
operators in energy, transport, and industrial sectors
It is not written for casual headline consumption or ideological reassurance.
If you want structural clarity rather than narrative comfort, Stratonomics is for you.
Why the name Stratonomics
Stratonomics is a mash-up of strategy and economics — because most analysis fails when it treats them. I like history as well, and as Cicero said, historia magistra vitae est, not only to help preserve memory, but also to ask “why did this happen“.